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US fourth-quarter GDP was revised sharply lower to 0.5% while Core PCE held steady at 3.0%, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates soon.
Despite Confusion Over Terms, Accusations of Breaches, Iran Ceasefire Functionally Holds; Crude Oil, Stock Markets Begin to Stabilize After Impact; FOMC Minutes Show More Board Members Considering Hike Rates
ISM Services PMI Slightly Lower Than Expected; Much of Europe on Holiday; Tuesday is “Deadline” for Iran Resolution; Markets Reacting to Cancelled Briefing by Pentagon; Supply Chain Disruptions Starting to Weigh on Commodity Currencies.
Friday Was Holiday for Most; Non-Farm Employment, Unemployment Rate Surprise on Friday in Rare Holiday Release; OPEC+ Agrees to Boost Oil Output When Straight Opens; USD/JPY Continues to Flirt with Massive Barrier; Monday Holiday in Majority of EU Countries; USD/JPY Still a Pair Many Watching
ADP Non-Farm Payroll expects 41k added in America, US Core Retail Sales are expected to be 0.3%, and Retail Sales are expected to be 0.5% as spending continues despite inflation. The ISM Manufacturing PMI reading in the US is expected to be 52.3, a slight drop of 0.1 from March. Iran now says it is ready to end the war, but with guarantees, while Trump claims talks are “going well.”
S&P 500 Index Closes at Fresh 7-Month Low, Now Rising After Hormuz Report; WTI Crude Oil, Gasoline Futures Make New High Closing Prices; Prediction Markets See War Continuing Into May
USD/JPY Hits New 18-Month High Price; S&P 500 Index Closes Friday at 7-Month Low; WTI Cure Oil Futures End Friday at Long-Term High Close; Trump Praises Iran for Allowing Ships Through Hormuz, Mulls Seizing Oil, Uranium; US Has 50k Troops in Middle East
Irans Confirms Reviewing Proposal, Leaks Say Gaps Remain Huge; Prediction Markets Don't Expect Ceasefire Before May
Australian CPI Falls to 3.7%; UK CPI 3.0% as Expected; Markets More Convinced of Trump Peace Talk, Stabilising Crude Oil, Stocks & Gold Higher; Iran Allowing "Non-Hostile" Ships Hormuz Transit
Trump Says Conversations Underway, Promotes Peace Deal Within 5 Days; Iran Denies Negotiations Taking Place; Markets Initially Rebound, Now Stocks Falling, Crude Oil Rising Again
The European Central Bank recently released its monetary policy meeting minutes, showing that the bank’s policymakers supported the decision to continue with an accommodative monetary policy stance until March 2022.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said recently that the latest surge in the number of COVID-19 infections has put the British economy in shambles, delaying the country’s recovery.
According to recently released electoral data, the Democratic Party will likely grab the two Georgia Senate seats that were in dispute, giving the party a trifecta for the first time since 2009.
According to Germany's Federal Statistical Office, retail sales rose by 5.6% (annually) in November, higher than expectations of 3.9% but lower than the previous month's 8.6% rise.
The British House of Commons approved the trade agreement with the European Union yesterday in a 521-73 vote, ending the Brexit saga just before the deadline.
The US House of Representatives decided to back President Trump’s proposal to give additional stimulus payments to Americans in need, which has been a recent point of contention between both parties.
The end of autumn 2020 will forever go down in the story of the Forex market.
The Bank of Japan recently released its monetary policy meeting minutes, in which policymakers discussed forms of making their monetary stimulus measures more sustainable.
The US Federal Reserve recently announced its decision to leave the cash rates unchanged, remaining in line with analysts' expectations.
The United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics recently reported the country’s unemployment rate, which stands at 4.9 percent for the third quarter, and lower than expectations of 5.1 percent.
WTI Crude Oil went into the this weekend above the 90.000 USD mark, and by now speculators should be ready in their thinking for the opening of trading tomorrow which is certain to be an adventure as the week starts.
Bitcoin holds steady despite risk concerns, while forex, indices, and commodities react to global sentiment and key macro events.
USD/CHF is sitting on an important support zone, with US yield trends and Middle East headlines likely to decide whether the pair bounces or slips toward 0.78.
EUR/USD is approaching the key 1.17 area on improving risk sentiment, though higher US yields and Middle East headlines may keep the pair volatile and rangebound.
GBP/JPY remains bullish as persistent yen weakness and favorable rate differentials push the pair toward the key 214–214.50 resistance zone.
Bitcoin is holding up well despite geopolitical turmoil, with a developing bottoming pattern and steady ETF inflows suggesting a possible breakout if $76,000 is cleared.
AUD/USD is trapped in the middle of a broad range, with 0.7150 as major resistance and 0.6950 near the 50-day EMA acting as the main support zone.
NZD/USD extended its rally on Thursday as risk appetite improved, with 0.59 now the key resistance level and 0.58 acting as the main support.
USD/JPY remains rangebound between 158 and 160, with upside pressure building toward 160.40 as yield differentials continue to favor the US dollar.
USD/CAD is slipping after stalling above 1.3850, with the 200-day EMA and 1.3750 now acting as the key downside support zone.

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